A new poll by the Pew Research Center shows that a majority of Latino voters are basing their midterm vote on their negative views of President Trump, which have hit an all-time low with the midterm election just two weeks away.
Significance. Roughly 55% of Latino respondents in a Pew Research poll say they view their vote in the upcoming midterm election as a vote against Trump–though he is not on the ballot. This is compared to 14% of Latinos who say their vote in the midterms is in support of Trump.
A little over a quarter of Latinos, 30%, said Trump is not much of a factor in the decision for who they cast their vote in the upcoming midterms.
The upcoming election on Nov. 3 will determine which political party takes control and wins a majority in Congress after Republicans have held
The survey was conducted from Sept. 28 to Oct. 4. Pew Research Center used a nationally representative sample of 5,062 responses from randomly selected U.S. adults.
Overlooked angle. Previous reporting from The Emancipator on a Reuters/Ispos poll found that just 24% of Latino American voters approve of Trump’s performance during his second term in office, a record low rating when looking across his two presidential terms.
An NBC/Telemundo poll found that his low approval rating among Latinos was due to their views on how he has handled immigration enforcement since the start of his second term. His brutal immigration campaign has targeted Latinos across the country, with aggressive intimidation and fatal arrests. The poll also found that many Latino voters have personally been affected or known someone close to them who has been targeted by Trump’s Immigration and Customs Enforcement agency, which is impacting their voting decision in the upcoming midterm election.
Power structure. Many political pundits and experts are watching Latino voters, since they were a key demographic that helped Trump take office for his second term and in recent elections have been shifted more conservatively on the political spectrum.
In the 2024 presidential election, a national exit poll conducted by Edison Research and released by the Washington Post found that Latino male voters shifted in support of Trump. This compared to the previous presidential election, in which the demographic previously backed former President Biden, the democratic candidate.
What experts say. “With midterm elections approaching, UnidosUS, America’s Voice, Hispanic Federation and Mi Familia en Acción are releasing this framework now to give lawmakers on both sides of the aisle a concrete, workable starting point on immigration legislation,” UNIDOS wrote in a press release.
“UnidosUS’s goal is straightforward: replace two decades of executive-order whiplash with a durable, bipartisan law that Latino families and the industries that depend on immigrant workers can actually plan around.”
